世界银行-中非共和国林业和矿业收入潜力（英）

Policy Research Working Paper11209The Central African Republic’s Forestry and Mining Revenue PotentialYannick BouterigeBaptiste MarquantPierre Mandon Economic Policy Global Department September 2025 Public Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedProduced by the Research Support TeamAbstractThe Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.Policy Research Working Paper 11209This paper examines the untapped fiscal potential of natural resources in the Central African Republic, focusing on the forestry and mining sectors. The paper analyzes current pro-duction levels, tax systems, and revenue generation in both sectors, and identifies significant opportunities for increased domestic resource mobilization, currently estimated to be between CFAF 150 billion and CFAF 180 billion. The forestry sector, contributing 2.6 percent of gross domestic product and 47.4 percent of exports, generated CFAF 3.7 billion in annual revenues from the main forestry taxes over 2020–21. However, it operates well below capacity, with industrial logging concentrated on just four species, representing 70-75 percent of production. Through mod-eling three scenarios of improved resource utilization and processing, the study demonstrates potential forestry reve-nue increases of 75.7 to 145.9 percent, reaching CFAF 6.5 billion to CFAF 9.1 billion, not accounting for potential second round impacts on general taxation. The mining sector, primarily artisanal gold and diamond extraction, contributes 0.6 percent of gross domestic product and 46.5 percent of exports, generating CFAF 2.0 billion in revenues (in 2022). The analysis of the 2024 mining code reforms suggests that revenues could potentially reach CFAF 6.4 billion, primarily through new production-sharing requirements. The paper proposes targeted policy recom-mendations, including strengthened monitoring and law enforcement, increased investment, simplified taxation for forestry, and improved control mechanisms for mining operations, while noting that the current mining tax sys-tem’s regressive nature may discourage formalization and investment over the long term.This paper is a product of the Economic Policy Global Department. It is part of a larger effort by the World Bank to provide open access to its research and make a contribution t