世界银行-评估蒂尔基耶叙利亚难民和土耳其国民劳动力市场融合计划的就业影响：基线报告（英）

SOCIAL PROTECTION DISCUSSION PAPERNo. 2516 | JUNE 2025Evaluating the Employment Effects of a Labor Market Integration Program for Syrian Refugees and Turkish Nationals in TürkiyeBaseline ReportEfs¸an Nas Özen, Dhushyanth RajuPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure Authorized© 2025 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433 Telephone: +1 (202) 473 1000; Internet: www.worldbank.org.This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.RIGHTS AND PERMISSIONSThe material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination of its knowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given. Any queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank Group, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: +1 (202) 522 2625; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org.Evaluating the Employment Effects of a Labor Market Integration Program for Syrian Refugees and Turkish Nationals in Türkiye Baseline Report Efşan Nas Özen Dhushyanth Raju Abstract: Causal evidence on the effectiveness of refugee labor market integration programs remains limited. This report presents baseline findings from a randomized controlled trial evaluating such a program for Syrian refugees and Turkish nationals with limited labor market attachment in Türkiye—the world’s largest refugee host. The program consists of Turkish language instruction, job readiness training, and subsidized, short-term, on-the-job training in formal enterprises, with a mandated requirement that employers retain a predetermined share of trainees, and expedited work permit processing for selected refugee participants. The evaluation sample includes 2,834 individuals—79% Syrian refugees, 46% women, and 39% youth—randomly assigned to treatment and control groups, resulting in statistically balanced and evenly sized samples. The baseline findings confirm the successful initial implementation of a credible evaluation design and provide a strong foundation for estimating the program’s causal impacts. Keywords: active labor market programs, labor market integration, impact evaluation, randomized controlled trial, baseline analysis, Syrian refugees, Turkish nationals, Türkiye