世界银行-撒哈拉以南非洲宏观贫困展望，2025年10月：发展中国家的国别分析和预测，2025年年会（英）

MMMPPOOO10/2025Sub-Saharan AfricaCountry-by-country Analysis and Projections for the Developing WorldCountry-by-country Analysis and Projections for the Developing WorldMACRO POVERTYOUTLOOKPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure Authorized© 2025 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet: www.worldbank.org This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclu-sions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Rights and Permissions The material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination of its knowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given. All queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World Bank Publications,The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org. Macro Poverty Outlook / October 2025Macro Poverty Outlook / October 20251Sub-SaharanAfricaAngola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso BurundiCabo Verde Cameroon Central African Republic Chad Comoros Congo, Democratic Rep.Congo, Republic Côte d’Ivoire Equatorial Guinea EritreaEswatini Ethiopia Gabon Gambia, The Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Kenya Lesotho Liberia MadagascarMalawi MaliMauritania Mauritius MozambiqueNamibia NigerNigeriaRwandaSão Tomé and Príncipe Senegal Seychelles Sierra Leone Somalia South AfricaSouth Sudan Sudan TanzaniaTogo Uganda Zambia ZimbabweANGOLAGrowthslowedinH12025duetoloweroiloutput,but the non-oil sector remains strong. Growth could improve with fasterreforms in infrastructure, human capital, and agriculture andusing the Lobito Corridor initiative as a catalyst for economicdiversification and connecting Angola to regional and globalmarkets. The poverty rate is projected to rise to about 42.5percent by 2025. Risks include excessive oil volatility, globaluncertainty, and slow implementation of reforms.Key conditions and challengesAngola has significant economic and human potential thanks toabundant natural resources, fertile land, favorable climate, a longcoastline, and a young population. Beyond oil and diamonds, thecountry is also rich in rare earths and other minerals.However, Angola’s economy remains heavily dependent onoil, which makes up about 20 percent of GDP and over 95percent o