英文【国际货币基金组织】数字化：代际职业流动的催化剂？

Digitalization: A Catalyst for Intergenerational Occupational Mobility? Mame Astou Diouf, Boileau Yeyinou Loko, and Rasmane Ouedraogo WP/25/106 IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management. 2025 MAY INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND 2 © 2025 International Monetary Fund WP/25/106IMF Working Paper African Department Digitalization: A Catalyst for Intergenerational Occupational Mobility? Prepared by Mame Astou Diouf, Boileau Yeyinou Loko, and Rasmane Ouedraogo Authorized for distribution by Costas Christou May 2025 IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management. ABSTRACT: This paper analyzes the link between digitalization and intergenerational occupational mobility in Africa. We use a probit model estimated on a large sample of 28 million individuals aged 14 and higher and co-residing with at least one individual from the older generation. We find that digitalization could help boost upward mobility and limit the risks of downward occupational mobility, thereby improving job opportunities. While strong institutions, political and social stability, better access to adequate digital infrastructure, and education are important to increase and accelerate upward mobility, new technologies and digital tools can intensify these positive effects and contribute to creating jobs and enhancing living standards in Africa. Similar results hold for downward mobility. RECOMMENDED CITATION: Diouf, M. A., Loko, B. Y. and Ouedraogo, R. 2025. Digitalization: A Catalyst for Intergenerational Occupational Upward Mobility? IMF Working Paper WP/25/106. Washington D.C. JEL Classification Numbers: L86, O33, J23, N37 Keywords: Intergenerational occupational mobility; Digitalization Author’s E-Mail Address: mdiouf@imf.org; bloko1@yahoo.com; rouedraogo@imf.org IMF WORKING PAPERS Digitalization: A Catalyst for Intergenerational Occupational Mobility? INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND 3 WORKING PAPERS Digitalization: A Catalyst for Intergenerational Occupational Mobility? Mame Astou Diouf, Boileau Yeyinou Loko, and Rasmane Ouedraogo 1 1 “The authors would like to thank Costas Christou for his invaluable support and insights and participants at an African Department Seminar and the AFR Research Advisory Group for their very valuable comments. IMF WORKING PAPERS Digitalization: A Catalyst for Intergenerational Occupational Mobility? INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND 4 Contents 1.Introduction ...........................................................................................................................