IMF-国际货币基金组织出版物中的粮食和农业部门：文本挖掘分析（英）

The Food and Agriculture Sector in IMF Publications: A Text-Mining Analysis Tewodaj Mogues and Papa Niang WP/25/254 IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management. 2025 DEC © 2025 International Monetary Fund WP/25/254IMF Working Paper African DepartmentThe Food and Agriculture Sector in IMF Publications: A Text-Mining Analysis Prepared by Tewodaj Mogues and Papa Niang Authorized for distribution by Jesmin Rahman December 2025 IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management. ABSTRACT: This paper presents a text-mining analysis of discussions of food and agriculture issues in publications of the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) from 1946 to mid-2025, with deeper analysis on subsets of this period for selected publication types. It examines how references to food security and agriculture (FSA) have evolved over time, assesses how they differ across IMF outlets and regional focus of the papers, and explores the coverage of subtopics of FSA as well as broader economic contexts within which FSA is contextualized. Using text data from the IMF’s eLibrary metadata as well as its full-text data processed through the use of the Fund Document Extraction Toolkit (FDET), the study identifies key trends in the frequency and intensity of FSA references. The results indicate that IMF attention to FSA issues tends to peak during periods of global food crises and significant agricultural policy changes. These peaks closely track inflationary trends with minimal lag, suggesting rapid response of IMF work to crises. The study also reveals regional variations, with Sub-Saharan Africa and Emerging and Developing Asia exhibiting the highest prevalence of FSA references, while advanced economies show lower prevalence. The analysis also finds that FSA-focused publications exhibit greater attention to selected core macroeconomic themes (inflation and trade) as well as to newer thematic areas (climate change and inequality) relative to other IMF work. The tools and methods can be applied to macrocritical dimensions of other sectoral concerns, and the findings provide a foundation for further research that can extend the methodology and content of this work. RECOMMENDED CITATION: Mogues, Tewodaj and Papa Niang (2025). “The Food and Agriculture Sector in IMF Publications: A Text-Mining Analysis”, IMF Working Paper WP/25/254. International Monetary Fund, Washington DC. JEL Classification Numbers: Q18, E60 Keywords: Text-mining; Agriculture; Food security; Macrocriticality; IMF publications. Autho