世界银行-区域贫困和不平等最新情况——拉丁美洲和加勒比，2025年10月（英）

/271POVERTY AND INEQUALITY/271Regional Poverty and Inequality UpdateLatin America and the Caribbean October 20251Poverty and Equity Global Practice1 This brief summarizes recent facts related to poverty and inequality in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) using the new wave of harmonized household surveys from the Socio-Economic Database for LAC (SEDLAC). This brief was produced by the Poverty Global Practice in the LAC Region of the World Bank. The core team included Karen Barreto, Luis Eduardo Castellanos Rodríguez, and Catalina García García under the leadership of Diana Sanchez Castro and Hernán Winkler and the guidance of Carlos Rodríguez Castelan. Ana Carolina Leguizamo provided administrative assistance. The team thanks José Andrée Camarena, Gustavo Canavire, Otavio Canozzi, Jacobus De Hoop, Jonathan Lain, Gaston Marinelli, Hugo Ñopo, Anna Luisa Paffhausen, Lourdes Rodríguez, Yuri Yamashita, Guillermo Vuletin, and the staff from the LAC Poverty team for valuable inputs and comments. Contact: lac_stats@worldbank.org. Most of the data featured in this brief can be found at the LAC Equity Lab.Poverty in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) is projected to fall to 25.2 percent in 2025, with Brazil and Mexico contributing to most of this decline.The middle class is projected to reach 42.8 percent by the end of 2025, which would be its highest level in history.Vulnerability to poverty has maintained a steady level at 32 percent, with the vulnerable population in the Caribbean region being larger (36 percent) than in the rest of LAC.These trends have been driven by increased employment and labor income growth across most countries, followed by contributions from public transfers.Despite recent progress, LAC countries lag behind their counterparts in more dynamic upper-middle-income regions in long-term poverty reduction and economic growth.Monetary poverty is persistent in LAC, with most poor households (between 58 and 76 percent) remaining poor from year to year, with higher rates in poorer countries.Despite persistent structural weaknesses in the labor market, including a declining education premium that constrains wage growth, job creation and shifts toward higher-skilled occupations have helped households raise their incomes over time.Looking ahead, global economic uncertainty and domestic challenges point to weaker growth and slower poverty reduction through 2027.Addressing these challenges will require policies to unlock job creation in strategic sectors through structural reforms in capital markets, infrastructure, and institutions, and to expand opportunities for workers to transition into higher-skilled occupations through higher educational attainment, strengthened skills systems, and reduced barriers to job transitions.Main MessagesPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure Authorized/272Gross domestic product (GDP) in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) grew by 2.2 perce