兰德-评估类似CERN的跨国人工智能研究组织的价值（英）

MATTHEW SARGENT, MARY LEE, DENNIS MURPHY, SABAHAT ZAFARAssessing the Value of a CERN-Like Multinational Research Organization for AIExpert InsightsPERSPECTIVE ON A TIMELY POLICY ISSUEAugust 2025For more information on this publication, visit www.rand.org/t/PEA4024-1.About RANDRAND is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. To learn more about RAND, visit www.rand.org.Research IntegrityOur mission to help improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis is enabled through our core values of quality and objectivity and our unwavering commitment to the highest level of integrity and ethical behavior. To help ensure our research and analysis are rigorous, objective, and nonpartisan, we subject our research publications to a robust and exacting quality-assurance process; avoid both the appearance and reality of financial and other conflicts of interest through staff training, project screening, and a policy of mandatory disclosure; and pursue transparency in our research engagements through our commitment to the open publication of our research findings and recommendations, disclosure of the source of funding of published research, and policies to ensure intellectual independence. For more information, visit www.rand.org/about/research-integrity.RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif.© 2025 RAND Corporation is a registered trademark.Limited Print and Electronic Distribution RightsThis publication and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to its webpage on rand.org is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research products for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, visit www.rand.org/about/publishing/permissions.PE-A4024-1 iii About This Paper Rapid advances in artificial intelligence (AI) have the potential to transform our modern world, prompting many scholars to propose a new AI research organization built on international collaboration and infrastructure investments, whose main goal is to enable research advancements in powerful but safe AI. Based on parallels with nuclear technology and the successes of the European Council for Nuclear Research (CERN), this AI research organization is often referred to as a “CERN for AI.” This paper demonstrates how to use an influential strategic assessment framework, known as Porter’s five forces model, to assess the value of potential investments in a CERN for AI. This framework and the discussion herein will help