全球人工智能社会发展研究报告（2025）

全球人工智能社会发展研究报告(2025)Global Report on Artificial Intelligence and Social Development (2025)上海市人工智能与社会发展研究会2025 年 7 月目 录一、摘 要.............................................................................................1二、全球人工智能研究动向...............................................................3（一）算力革命：能源困局与绿色算力破局............................3（二）模型幻觉：谬误和创见共存............................................ 5（三）数据让渡：便利增益与隐私风险.................................... 8（四）劳动转型：替代冲击与技能重构.................................. 10（五）智能鸿沟：技术红利分配的结构性失衡......................13（六）人机主体性：异化与共生.............................................. 15（七）大国博弈：权力重构与生态重塑.................................. 18（八）敏捷治理：渐进改进、协同共治.................................. 20三、结 语...........................................................................................23附录：参考文献.................................................................................24全球人工智能社会发展研究报告(2025)1一、摘 要随着生成式人工智能的爆发性演进，技术创新已实现由实验室向社会的全面渗透。当大模型从判别式迈向通用式，当算法从辅助工具演化为自主决策系统，技术已超越工具理性范畴，成为塑造经济秩序、权力结构与文明形态的元力量。进入 2025 年，人工智能的社会化应用呈现出深度赋能和系统性风险并存的双重图景。一方面，人工智能作为新质生产力的核心引擎，驱动产业智能化升级，孵化出一系列新业态、新场景、新模式，在医疗、教育、新闻、科研等领域释放出巨大潜力。另一方面，数据泄露、算法偏见、隐私侵犯、劳动替代、情感依赖、环境污染等问题，不断挑战社会伦理底线与全球治理体系韧性。在此背景下，上海市人工智能与社会发展研究会推出《全球人工智能社会发展研究报告（2025）》，立足于技术演进和社会发展的双重逻辑，系统梳理近两年人工智能领域国内外前沿研究成果，综合研判全球人工智能最新研究动态，致力于构建具有前瞻性的研究范式与方法论体系，为后续研究提供可能的思路与方向。报告基于学术前瞻性和社会关切度的双重考量，遵循技术本体-社会辐射-治理反馈的逻辑链路，选取了社会科学领域人工智能研究的八大议题：算力变革、模型幻觉、数据让渡、劳动替代、智能鸿沟、大国博弈、人机关系、敏捷治理。报告试图通过深入剖析各议题的前沿进展、核心争议与发展趋势，为政策制定者、研究者及产业界提供兼具理论洞见与实践价值的参考框架。Global Report on Artificial Intelligence and Social Development (2025)2With the explosive rise of generative artificial intelligence, technologicalinnovation has achieved its massive penetration from laboratories into society. Asdiscriminative models evolve to generative ones, and algorithms transform fromauxiliary tools to autonomous agents, technology has transcended the realm ofinstrumental rationality, emerging as a meta-force that shapes economic order, powerdynamics, and civilization paradigms. Entering 2025, the social application ofartificial intelligence presents a dual landscape where in-depth empowerment andsystemic risks coexist. On the one hand, artificial intelligence, as the core engine ofnew quality productivity, drives the intelligent upgrading of industries, incubatingnovel formats, scenarios, and models, and unleashes enormous potential in fields ofhealthcare, education, journalism, scientific research, etc. On the other hand, issuessuch as data leakage, algorithmic bias, privacy infringement, labor displacement,emotional dependence, and environmental pollution continuously challenge thebottom lines of social ethics and the resilience of the global governance system.In this context, by synthesizing dual logics of technological evolution and socialdevelopment, Global Report on Artificial Intelligence and Social Development (2025）systematically reviews the cutting-edge research results in the field of artificialintelligence over the past