UNDP-NDC洞察系列（英）

NDC InsightsSeriesIssue No. 8UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMMENovember 2025Copyright ©UNDP 2025. All rights reserved. One United Nations Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA. Cover Photo: UNDP CambodiaAbout Issue No. 8This NDC Insights Issue will dive into the latest trends on submitted NDCs related to land use,land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) sector and spotlights the latest NDC submission fromLiberia.About UNDPUNDP is the leading United Nations organization fighting to end the injustice of poverty,inequality, and climate change. Working with our broad network of experts and partners in 170countries, we help nations to build integrated, lasting solutions for people and planet. Learn moreat undp.org or follow at @UNDP. About UNDP’s Climate PromiseUNDP’s Climate Promise is the UN system’s largest portfolio of support on climate action,working with more than 140 countries and territories and directly benefiting 37 million people.This portfolio implements over US$2.45 billion in grant financing and draws on UNDP’s expertisein adaptation, mitigation, carbon markets, climate and forests, climate risk and security, andclimate strategies and policy. Visit our website at climatepromise.undp.org and follow us at @UNDPplanet. Latest trends and insightsAs of 15 November 2025, a total of 117 parties, including 15 G20 countries, 16Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and 21 Small Island Developing States(SIDS), have submitted new NDCs for the 2025 cycle, covering around 73percent of total global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.As we dive into the new generation of NDCs, four key trends related to landuse, land-use change and forestry sector (LULUCF) emerge:Majority of NDCs (97 percent) include LULUCF sector, with 75 percentincluding as part of an economy-wide target and 68 percent havingspecified a discrete LULUCF sectoral-level target.All NDCs now explicitly recognize the vital role of forests, referencing theircontribution to mitigation, adaptation, or both.Reducing emissions from deforestation, forest degradation, conservation offorest carbon stocks, sustainable management of forests and enhancementof forest carbon stocks (REDD+) has continued to gain momentum indeveloping countries, with 32 percent of new NDCs making direct referenceto the role of REDD+ in NDC implementation.There is a growing recognition of the leading role of Indigenous Peoplesand local communities within the LULUCF sector.1.2.3.4.As COP30 in Belem builds political momentum on climate action, the latest NDC analyses showprogress towards long-term net-zero pathways, however, it is not proving fast enough. While it isnow inevitable that there will be a temporary overshoot of the 1.5°C threshold, it is still possible tobring temperatures back down—keeping 1.5°C within reach—if countries step up and deploy allavailable solutions. Reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation as well as theconservation and enhancement of forest carbon sinks are among the most effective and vi