拉丁美洲经济委员会-气候变化对拉丁美洲儿童和青年贫困的影响（英）

The impact of climate change on child and youth poverty in Latin AmericaTitle: The impact of climate change on child and youth poverty in Latin AmericaISBN: 978-92-806-5670-1ECLAC symbol: LC/TS.2025/36Panama City, August 2025Cover photo: © UNICEF/UN0364082/Merino/Chile/2020This publication was produced by the Climate Change, Environment, Energy and Disaster Risk Reduction Section of the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) Regional Office for Latin America and the Caribbean (LACRO) and the Climate Change Unit of the Sustainable Development and Human Settlements Division of the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC).Author: Rafael Van der BorghtTechnical coordination: Reis López Rello, Climate Change and Sustainable Development Regional Advisor (UNICEF), María del Carmen Porras Pérez Guerrero, Climate Change and Disaster Risk Reduction Specialist (UNICEF), José Eduardo Alatorre, Economic Affairs Officer (ECLAC).The United Nations and the countries they represent are not responsible for the content of any linked websites included in this publication. The opinions expressed in this document are the responsibility of the author and may not coincide with those of the organizations or the countries they represent.Authorization to reproduce this work in whole or in part must be requested from the UNICEF LACRO Advocacy and Communication Section by emailing comlac@unicef.org or to the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), Documents and Publications Division, publicaciones.cepal@un.org. Member States and their governmental institutions may reproduce this work without prior authorization. They are requested only to mention the source and to inform ECLAC of such reproduction.© United Nations and United Nations Children's Fund, July 2025All rights reserved.UNICEFLatin America and Caribbean Regional OfficeBuilding 102, Alberto Tejada Street, City of KnowledgePanama, Republic of PanamaPO Box 0843-03045Telephone+507 301 7400www.unicef.org/lacX: @uniceflacFacebook: /uniceflacThe impact of climate change on child and youth poverty in Latin AmericaiiiThe impact of climate change on child and youth poverty in Latin AmericaContentsList of graphicsivList of tablesvAcronymsvExecutive summary11. Introduction52. Conceptual framework and methodology182.1. The relationship between growth and child and youth poverty212.1.1. Theoretical and empirical foundations212.1.2. Growth-poverty elasticity and the evolution of child and youth poverty in Latin America232.2. The impact of climate change on economic growth273. Results293.1. The economic impact of climate change under different scenarios313.2. The impact of climate change on child and youth poverty344. Conclusions and public policy recommendations385. Annex435.1. Data on poverty455.2. Relationship between poverty and economic growth475.3. Modelling the impacts of climate change on the GDP485.4. Inferring the child and youth poverty rate in 203050Endnotes54Reference