2025-2044商用市场展望（英）

Commercial Market Outlook | 2025-20442Commercial Market Outlook 2025-2044TABLE OF CONTENTSForeword ......................................................................................................................... 3Executive summary ........................................................................................................ 4Global trends and drivers ............................................................................................... 5Global traffic, fleet and airplane demand outlook ...........................................................7 Air cargo and freighter outlook ....................................................................................... 9Regional forecasts ........................................................................................................11 Africa ........................................................................................................................11China ....................................................................................................................... 13 Eurasia ..................................................................................................................... 15Latin America ............................................................................................................17Middle East .............................................................................................................. 19North America ...........................................................................................................21Northeast Asia ....................................................................................................... 23Oceania .................................................................................................................... 25South Asia ................................................................................................................ 27Southeast Asia ........................................................................................................ 29Methodology ...................................................................................................... 31Glossary .............................................................................................................33Cover photo: View of the horizon through a head-up display (HUD)3Commercial Market Outlook 2025-2044FOREWORDAs we cross the quarter century mark, I’m reminded of how resilient our industry is in the face of uncertainty. Passenger air traffic has tripled and the global airplane fleet has more than doubled over the past 25 years as commercial aviation grew despite significant challenges.While we will continue to adapt and navigate some level of volatility, we provide this comprehensive forecast as a map of where the industry is headed over the next 20 years – backed up by decades of data, research and expert analysis.From our vantage point in 2025, we see passenge