联合国西亚经济社会委员会-约旦宏观财政建模和预测工具-用户手册（英）

Macro-Fiscal Modelling and Forecasting Tool for Jordan User ManualE/ESCWA/CL3.SEP/2025/Manual.1 Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia Macro-Fiscal Modelling and Forecasting Tool for Jordan User Manual United Nations Beirut © 2025 United Nations All rights reserved worldwide Photocopies and reproductions of excerpts are allowed with proper credits. All queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA), email: publications-escwa@un.org. The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the United Nations or its officials or Member States. The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Links contained in this publication are provided for the convenience of the reader and are correct at the time of issue. The United Nations takes no responsibility for the continued accuracy of that information or for the content of any external website. References have, wherever possible, been verified. Mention of commercial names and products does not imply the endorsement of the United Nations. References to dollars ($) are to United States dollars, unless otherwise stated. Symbols of United Nations documents are composed of capital letters combined with figures. Mention of such a symbol indicates a reference to a United Nations document. United Nations publication issued by ESCWA, United Nations House, Riad El Solh Square, P.O. Box: 11–8575, Beirut, Lebanon. Website: www.unescwa.org. 2400756Eiii Acknowledgements This Macro-Fiscal Modelling and Forecasting Tool for Jordan: User Manual was produced by the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia under the leadership of Niranjan Sarangi – Cluster Leader, Shared Economic Prosperity Cluster. With thanks to: Authors Jan Gaska (lead author), Clive Altshuler and Dana Hamdan. Reviewers Zhenqian Huang, Namsuk Kim and Danyira Perez. iv v Summary This User Manual is a reference to better understand the building of a macro-fiscal modelling and forecasting (MFMF) tool for Jordan as part of the joint capacity development project launched by the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia and the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs for targeted United Nations Member States on macroeconomic modelling and policy simulations. The MFMF tool offers decision makers an accessible and dynamic interface for evaluating macroeconomic policy scenarios in a medium-term debt-to-gross domestic product stabilization framework. It supports optimized decision-making to foster growth-enhancing so