亚开行-2025年4月亚洲发展展望（英）

ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANKASIAN DEVELOPMENTOUTLOOKTRADE UNCERTAINTY CHALLENGES RESILIENCE IN ASIA AND THE PACIFICAPRIL 2025ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANKASIAN DEVELOPMENTOUTLOOKTRADE UNCERTAINTY CHALLENGES RESILIENCE IN ASIA AND THE PACIFICAPRIL 2025 Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO license (CC BY 3.0 IGO)© 2025 Asian Development Bank6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City, 1550 Metro Manila, PhilippinesTel +63 2 8632 4444; Fax +63 2 8636 2444www.adb.orgSome rights reserved. Published in 2025. ISBN 978-92-9277-275-8 (print); 978-92-9277-276-5 (PDF); 978-92-9277-277-2 (e-book) ISSN 0117-0481 (print), 1996-725X (PDF) Publication Stock No. FLS250135-3 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.22617/FLS250135-3The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) or its Board of Governors or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of their use. The mention of specific companies or products of manufacturers does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by ADB in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned.By making any designation of or reference to a particular territory or geographic area in this document, ADB does not intend to make any judgments as to the legal or other status of any territory or area.This publication is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO license (CC BY 3.0 IGO) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/. By using the content of this publication, you agree to be bound by the terms of this license. For attribution, translations, adaptations, and permissions, please read the provisions and terms of use at https://www.adb.org/terms-use#openaccess.This CC license does not apply to non-ADB copyright materials in this publication. If the material is attributed to another source, please contact the copyright owner or publisher of that source for permission to reproduce it. ADB cannot be held liable for any claims that arise as a result of your use of the material.Please contact pubsmarketing@adb.org if you have questions or comments with respect to content, or if you wish to obtain copyright permission for your intended use that does not fall within these terms, or for permission to use the ADB logo.Corrigenda to ADB publications may be found at http://www.adb.org/publications/corrigenda.Notes: In this publication, “$” refers to US dollars. ADB recognizes “Hong Kong” as Hong Kong, China; “China” as the People’s Republic of China; “Korea” and “South Korea” as the Republic of Korea; “Russia” as the Russian Federation; and “Vietnam” as Viet Nam.Cover design by Anthony Victoria. Cover artwork rendered by Katrina Cuenca licensed exclusively to ADB © 2025 “Seraph” Katrina Cuenca. All Rights Reserved.Foreword vAcknowledgments viDefinitions and Assumptions viiAbbreviations viiiADO April 2025—High