世界银行-贫困与公平评估3.0：结构和详细大纲（英）

1 P O V E R T Y & E Q U I T Y A S S E S S M E N TPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure Authorized 3Contents Background 5Report structure 6Detailed outline 7Overview 7Chapter 1. Trends and Patterns of Poverty and Shared Prosperity 91.1. How have poverty and shared prosperity evolved in recent years? 91.2. How many people are at risk of falling back into poverty and is there a stable middle class? 101.3. What are the distinct characteristics of the poor compared to the non-poor? 10Chapter 2. Drivers of Changes in Poverty and Shared Prosperity 132.1. Is growth conducive to poverty reduction and economic inclusion? 132.2. What is the role of labor and nonlabor incomes behind changes in poverty and inequality? 142.3. Has growth translated into more and better jobs for the poor and vulnerable populations? 152.4. What is the role of fiscal and social policies and shocks for poverty reduction and shared prosperity? 16Chapters 3-4. Thematic Focus Areas 19Chapter 5. Priorities for Accelerating Poverty Reduction and Shared Prosperity 19Appendix A. Key Poverty and Shared Prosperity Indicators 27Appendix B. Technical Annex 33Appendix C. Data Gap Assessment 33Annex. Table with more detailed questions for labor market analysis 41 5BackgroundIn the context of the Evolution Roadmap, the World Bank’s core diagnostics have been revamped to support a new knowledge agenda, enhancing their capacity to inform country engagement, shape local and global policy debates, and improve the quality of WBG’s operations. The Poverty and Equity Assessment (PEA) 3.0 is a core country diagnostic that deliv-ers deep analytical insights in an accessible and standardized format, enabling cross-country comparisons and benchmarking, while providing granular policy rec-ommendations. As one of the five World Bank core diagnostics, the PEA is an integral analytical piece that embeds a poverty and distributional lens into the World Bank’s engagement (see figure 1).Figure 1. The PEA and other Core Diagnostics in the new Knowledge CompactFIGURE 1. The PEA and other Core Diagnostics in the new Knowledge CompactAssess the conditions to ensure the poor can contribute to and benefit from growth through jobsDiagnosis of challenges and opportunities to accelerate economic growth and job creationCountry Climate and Development Report (CCDR)Public Finance Review (PFR)Country Growth and Jobs Report (CGJR)Country Private Sector Diagnostic (CPSD)Interplay between climate change, policies and developmentDistributional impacts of climate change and policiesAnalyzes the efficiency and effectiveness of fiscal policyAnalyzes if fiscal policy reduces poverty and inequalityAnalyzes if the poor benefit from the skills and labor demand from high-potential private sectorsDiagnosis of constraints and opportunities to unlock private sector growthSource: World Bank staff illustration.POV E RTY A ND EQ U ITY A SS ESS MENTS 3 .0 — STRU CTURE AN