未来能源研究所-对美国能源部气候工作组发布的一份报告中第11章“气候变化、经济和碳的社会成本”发表评论（英）

Comments on Chapter 11, “Climate Change, the Economy, and the Social Cost of Carbon,” in the report produced by the US Department of Energy's Climate Working Group titled A Critical Review of Impacts of Greenhouse Gas Emissions on the US Climate Brian C. Prest Public Comment September 2025 1616 P ST. NW, SUITE 600, WASHINGTON, DC 20036 • 202.328.5000 • WWW.RFF.ORG September 2, 2025 US Department of Energy 1000 Independence Avenue SW Washington, DC 20585 Attn: Docket ID No. DOE-HQ-2025-0207-0001 Submitted via: www.regulations.gov Dear Secretary Wright, On behalf of Resources for the Future (RFF), I am pleased to share the accompanying comments to the US Department of Energy (DOE) on the draft report produced by DOE's Climate Working Group titled A Critical Review of Impacts of Greenhouse Gas Emissions on the US Climate (CWG Report). RFF is an independent, nonprofit research institution in Washington, DC. Its mission is to improve environmental, energy, and natural resource decisions through impartial economic research and policy engagement. RFF is committed to being the most widely trusted source of research insights and policy solutions leading to a healthy environment and a thriving economy. While RFF researchers are encouraged to offer their expertise to inform policy decisions, the views expressed here are those of the individual author and may differ from those of other RFF experts, its officers, or its directors. RFF does not take positions on specific policy proposals. In this case, RFF expert Dr. Brian Prest has provided technical comments on Chapter 11 of the report, titled “Climate Change, The Economy, and the Social Cost of Carbon.” The comments focus on the usage of economic concepts and their application in the report, along with reference to recent advances in the relevant literature. If you have any questions or would like additional information, please contact Liam Burke at lburke@rff.org. Sincerely, Carlos E. Martín Vice President for Research and Policy Engagement 2 Comments on Chapter 11, “Climate Change, the Economy, and the Social Cost of Carbon,” in the report produced by the US Department of Energy's Climate Working Group (CWG) titled A Critical Review of Impacts of Greenhouse Gas Emissions on the US Climate (CWG report) Brian C. Prest Fellow and Initiative Director, Resources for the Future 202.328.5109 | prest@rff.org 1. Technical Comment on Page 119 Page 119 of the CWG report mischaracterizes the results of Newell et al. (2021), which was coauthored by the present author (Newell, Prest, and Sexton 2021). Newell et al. (2021)’s abstract summarizes its results as follows: “The uncertainty is greatest for models that specify effects of temperature on GDP growth that accumulate over time; the 95% confidence interval that accounts for both sampling and model uncertainty across the best-performing models ranges from 84% GDP losses to 359% gains. Mod