IMF-为未来提供动力：ECCU的能源转型战略（英）

Powering the Future: Energy Transition Strategies for the ECCU Peter Nagle, Camilo E. Tovar, and Diego Gutierrez SIP/2025/066IMF Selected Issues Papers are prepared by IMF staff as background documentation for periodic consultations with member countries. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed on April 9, 2025. This paper is also published separately as IMF Country Report No 25/105. 2025 MAY © 2025 International Monetary Fund SIP/2025/066 IMF Selected Issues Paper Western Hemisphere Department Powering the Future: Energy Transition Strategies for the ECCU, Eastern Caribbean Currency Union Prepared by Peter Nagle, Camilo E. Tovar, and Diego Gutierrez Authorized for distribution by Christoph Duenwald May 2025 IMF Selected Issues Papers are prepared by IMF staff as background documentation for periodic consultations with member countries. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed on April 9, 2025. This paper is also published separately as IMF Country Report No 25/105. ABSTRACT: Reducing energy dependence in the ECCU entails improving energy efficiency and shifting from fossil fuels to renewable energy. This energy transition will affect the transmission of and vulnerability to shocks (e.g., from natural disasters or commodity markets) while at the same time helping to reduce economic imbalances and enhance growth potential. Policymakers need to establish frameworks to maximize the benefits of the energy transition, while ensuring it is sustainable and equitable. RECOMMENDED CITATION: Nagle, P., Tovar, C., and Gutierrez, D. (2025). Powering the Future: Energy Transition Strategies for the ECCU, IMF Selected Issues Paper, Western Hemisphere Department, SIP/2025/066. Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund. JEL Classification Numbers: F45, O13, Q43 Keywords: ECCU, Caribbean, Energy Transition, Oil Dependence, Economic Resilience Author’s E-Mail Address: PNagle@imf.org; CTovar@imf.org; DGutierrez@imf.org SELECTED ISSUES PAPERS Powering the Future: Energy Transition Strategies for the ECCU Eastern Caribbean Currency Union Prepared by Peter Nagle, Camilo E. Tovar, and Diego Gutierrez EASTERN CARIBBEAN CURRENCY UNION SELECTED ISSUES Approved ByWestern Hemisphere DepartmentPrepared By Peter Nagle and Camilo E. Tovar with research analysis by Diego Gutierrez (all WHD). POWERING THE FUTURE: ENERGY TRANSITION STRATEGIES FOR THE ECCU ____ 2 A. Introduction _________________________________________________________________________ 2B. The Energy Landscape _______________________________________________________________ 3C. Strategies for a Successful Energy Transition _________________________________________ 5D. The Energy Transition as an Opportunity to Strengthen the ECCU ___________________ 6E. Policy Options ________________________________________________________________________ 7References ______________________________________________________________________________ 9 CONTENTS April 9, 2025