世界银行-索马里经济最新情况：促进国内收入动员——加强服务提供，加强社会契约（英）

Boosting Domestic Revenue MobilizationTO ENHANCE SERVICE DELIVERY AND STRENGTHEN THE SOCIAL CONTRACT SOMALIA ECONOMIC UPDATE10TH EDITION, JUNE 2025Public Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedBoosting Domestic Revenue MobilizationTO ENHANCE SERVICE DELIVERY AND STRENGTHEN THE SOCIAL CONTRACT SOMALIA ECONOMIC UPDATE10TH EDITION, JUNE 2025© 2025 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet: www.worldbank.org This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or cur-rency of the data included in this work and does not assume respon-sibility for any errors, omissions, or discrepancies in the information, or liability with respect to the use of or failure to use the information, methods, processes, or conclusions set forth. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank con-cerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or accept-ance of such boundaries. Nothing herein shall constitute or be construed or considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved.Rights and Permissions The material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination of its knowledge, this work may be re-produced, in whole or in part, for noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given. Any queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank Group, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org. Cover design, interior design and typesetting: Piotr Ruczynski, London, United Kingdom, prucz.co.ukCover and chapter photos: World Bank, Dominic Chavez/World BankContentsv Forewordvi Hordhacvii Acknowledgementsix Abbreviations and Acronyms 1 Executive Summary7 Soo koobida Hawl fulinta15 PART I Somalia Macroeconomic Summary16 1 Global and Regional Developments17 2 Recent Economic Developments in Somalia28 3 Medium-Term Outlook and Risks33 4 Conclusion and Summary Policy Options 37 PART II Domestic Revenue Mobilization for Enhanced Service Delivery and Social Contract38 5 Somalia’s State Affordability and Service Delivery Capacity 44 6 Opportunities and Constraints in Domestic Resource Mobilization 2025 – 203054 7 Policy Recommendations 56 References Figures18 FIGURE 2.1 Somali economic growth remains too modest to make much of an improvement in livi