11月风电新增装机达4.08GW,同比增长195.65%
[Table_yejiao1] 本研究报告由海通国际分销,海通国际是由海通国际研究有限公司,海通证券印度私人有限公司,海通国际株式会社和海通国际证券集团其他各成员单位的证券研究团队所组成的全球品牌,海通国际证券集团各成员分别在其许可的司法管辖区内从事证券活动。关于海通国际的分析师证明,重要披露声明和免责声明,请参阅附录。(Please see appendix for English translation of the disclaimer) [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 11 月份风电新增装机达 4.08GW,同比增长达 195.65%。12 月 20 日,国家能源局发布 1-11 月份全国电力工业统计数据,截至 11 月底,全国累计发电装机容量约 28.5 亿千瓦,同比增长 13.6%。其中,太阳能发电装机容量约 5.6 亿千瓦,同比增长 49.9%;风电装机容量约 4.1 亿千瓦,同比增长 17.6%,其中 1-11 月份,全国新增风电装机 4139 万千瓦,同比增加 1887 万千瓦。11 月单月新增装机 408 万千瓦,同比增长达 195.65%。 风电利用小时数开始回暖,1-11 月比上年同期增加 21 小时。1-11 月全国发电设备累计平均利用 3282 小时,比上年同期减少 94 小时。其中,水电 2927 小时,比上年同期减少 292 小时;太阳能发电 1218 小时,比上年同期减少 42 小时;核电 7001 小时,比上年同期增加 101 小时;火电 4040 小时,比上年同期增加 61 小时;风电 2029 小时,比上年同期增加 21 小时。 根据不完全统计,海上风电招标市场景气度开始抬升。根据不完全统计,1-11 月份陆上风电招标为63.8GW,同比下降 13%,海上风电不含框架招标规模约为 8.6GW,同比下降 28.5%,值得注意的事,11 月份海上风电招标达 1.76GW,环比显著提升,随着军事、航道问题的逐步解决,海上风电景气度将不断抬升。根据我们测算,2023 年全年预计风电新增装机超过 70GW,同比增长超过 86%。重点关注风电产业链价值量较高的版块,如海缆,管桩等等。 图 1:1-11 月份陆上风电招标(单位:GW) 图 2: 1-11 月份海上风电招标(单位:GW) 资料来源:HTI 整理 资料来源:HTI 整理 投资建议:建议关注产品价值量较高的企业如【东方电缆】、【中天科技】、【大金重工】等。 风险:政策不及预期、贸易摩擦、原材料价格大幅上涨、汇率波动等。 [Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 22 Dec 2023 ESG & Power Equipment & Utilities 11 月风电新增装机达 4.08GW,同比增长 195.65% In November, The Monthly Newly Installed Capacity of Wind Power Was 4.08GW, An Increase of 195.65% 杨斌 Bin Yang 余小龙 Bruce Yu bin.yang@htisec.com bruce.xl.yu@htisec.com 22 Dec 2023 2 [Table_header2] ESG & Power Equipment & Utilities APPENDIX 1 Investment Highlights: In November, the newly installed capacity of wind power reached 4.08GW, an increase of 195.65%. On December 20, the National Energy Administration released the statistics of the national power industry from January to November, as of the end of November, the cumulative installed power generation capacity of the country was about 2.85 billion kilowatts, an increase of 13.6%. Among them, the installed capacity of solar power generation was about 560 million kilowatts, an increase of 49.9%. The installed capacity of wind power was about 410 million kilowatts, an increase of 17.6% year-on-year, of which 41.39 million kilowatts of wind power was added nationwide from January to November, an increase of 18.87 million kilowatts year-on-year. In November, the new installed capacity was 4.08 million kilowatts, an increase of 195.65%. The average utilization hours of wind power turbines began to repair, increasing by 21 hours in January-November compared with the same period last year. From January to November, the cumulative average utilization hours of power generation equipment across the country were 3,282 hours, down 94 hours from the same period last year. Among them, 2,927 hours of hydropower, 292 hours less than the same period last year; Solar power generation for 1,218 hours, 42 hours less t
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