世界银行-增长对多维贫困的分解影响：增长的来源重要吗？（英）

Policy Research Working Paper10930Disaggregated Impacts of Growth on Multidimensional PovertyDoes the Source of Growth Matter? Francis MulanguMokhtar BenlamineMichael KellerJean-Pascal NganouPoverty and Equity Global Practice September 2024 Public Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedProduced by the Research Support TeamAbstractThe Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.Policy Research Working Paper 10930This paper presents comprehensive findings on the rela-tionship between economic growth and poverty. Using a first-difference model applied to data from more than 80 countries spanning over 20 years, the paper investigates how changes in gross domestic product affect the Multidimen-sional Poverty Index and its subcomponents, considering variations in income level, region, and resource dependency. The analysis confirms that economic growth generally reduces the Multidimensional Poverty Index, although the magnitude of the effect varies significantly. It is less pronounced in low-income countries, Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, and resource-dependent countries. The paper disaggregates gross domestic product growth by its dimensions, revealing that growth driven by total factor productivity, consumption, and sustain-able growth significantly decreases the Multidimensional Poverty Index. In contrast, factors such as human capital development, capital deepening, investment, government spending, exports, and imports show ambiguous effects on the Multidimensional Poverty Index. These findings suggest that the effectiveness of these factors depends on country-level conditions. Given the clearer positive impact of total factor productivity, consumption, and sustainable growth on reducing multidimensional poverty, policy makers should prioritize strategies that promote these types of growth to fight poverty, especially in contexts where the effects of other growth contributors are uncertain or not well understood.This paper is a product of the Poverty and Equity Global Practice. It is part of a larger effort by the World Bank to provide open access to its research and make a contribution to development policy discussions around the world. Policy Research Working Papers are also posted on the Web at http://www.worldbank.org/prwp. The aut