世界银行-更多知情的公民会做出更好的气候政策决策吗？（英）

Policy Research Working Paper10921Do More Informed Citizens Make Better Climate Policy Decisions?Michael M. LokshinIván TorreMichael HannonMiguel E. Purroy Europe and Central Asia RegionOffice of the Chief EconomistSeptember 2024 Public Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedProduced by the Research Support TeamAbstractThe Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.Policy Research Working Paper 10921This study explores the relationship between perceptions of catastrophic events and beliefs about climate change. Using data from the 2023 Life in Transition Survey, the study finds that contrary to conventional wisdom, more accu-rate knowledge about past catastrophes is associated with lower concern about climate change. The paper proposes that heightened threat sensitivity may underlie both the tendency to overestimate disaster impacts and increased concern about climate change. The findings challenge the assumption that a more informed citizenry necessarily leads to better climate policy decisions. Instead, they suggest that psychological factors, like anxiety and risk perception, play crucial roles in shaping climate attitudes. Illuminating these dynamics can help societies to foster a more nuanced and constructive public dialogue about the urgent challenges facing our planet and our species.This paper is a product of the Office of the Chief Economist, Europe and Central Asia Region. It is part of a larger effort by the World Bank to provide open access to its research and make a contribution to development policy discussions around the world. Policy Research Working Papers are also posted on the Web at http://www.worldbank.org/prwp. The authors may be contacted at mlokshin@worldbank.org.Do More Informed Citizens Make Better Climate Policy Decisions? Michael M. Lokshin, Iván Torre, Michael Hannon, and Miguel E. Purroy1JEL: Q54, D83, Q58 Keywords: climate change; catastrophes; threat sensitivity; public opinion; risk perceptions; science communication; anxiety 1 Michael Lokshin is Lead Economist and Ivan Torre Senior Economist in the Chief Economist Office of the Europe and Central Asia Region of the World Bank. Michael Hannon is an Associate Professor of Philosophy at the University of Nottingham. Miguel E. Purroy is a consultant to the World Bank. This pa