UNDP-莫桑比克生活成本危机：贫困影响和可能的政策应对（英）

DEVELOPMENT FUTURES SERIES WORKING PAPERSThe Cost-of-Living Crisis in Mozambique: Poverty Impacts and Possible Policy Responses by Salome Ecker, Sofia Terragni, Alex Warren-Rodriguez and Eduardo Ortiz-JuarezUNI T ED N AT I O N S D EVELO PMEN T PR OG R AM M EUNDP GLOBAL POLICY NETWORKUNDP is the leading United Nations organization fighting to end the injustice of poverty, inequality, and climate change. Working with our broad network of experts and partners in 170 countries, we help nations to build integrated, lasting solutions for people and planet. Learn more at undp.org or follow at @UNDP. The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of the United Nations, including UNDP, or the UN Member States. Copyright © UNDP September 2024 All rights reserved United Nations Development Programme 1 UN Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA Online ISSN: 3005-3307THE COST-OF-LIVING CRISIS IN MOZAMBIQUE: POVERTY IMPACTS AND POSSIBLE POLICY RESPONSES1The Cost-of-Living Crisis in Mozambique: Poverty Impacts and Possible Policy Responses by Salome Ecker (salome.ecker@kcl.ac.uk), Sofia Terragni (ste@voluntas.org), Alex Warren-Rodriguez (alex.warren-rodriguez@undp.org) and Eduardo Ortiz-Juarez (eduardo.ortizj@kcl.ac.uk)11 Salome Ecker is a PhD Candidate in Development Economics at King’s College London and at the time of writing was an Economic Analyst in UNDP’s Strategic Policy Engagement Team, Bureau for Policy and Programme Support (BPPS); Sofia Terragni is an Engagement Leader at Voluntas and at the time of writing was a Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) Policy Analyst at the Economic Policy Analysis Unit of UNDP Mozambique; Alex Warren-Rodriguez is Senior Economist in the UNDP Zimbabwe country office and at the time of writing was a Senior Economist at the Economic Policy Analysis Unit of UNDP Mozambique; Eduardo Ortiz-Juarez is Lecturer in Development Economics at King’s College London and Senior Economic Research Advisor at BPPS. Corresponding authors: Salome Ecker and Alex Warren-Rodriguez. Acknowledgements: The authors are grateful to all who provided valuable comments: Tanya Pedersen, Knowledge Management Specialist at BPPS, UNDP; Usman Iftikhar, Policy Advisor at BPPS; Jacob Assa, Policy Specialist and Economist at UNDP’s Regional Bureau for Africa (RBA); and Mthokozisi Tshuma, Policy Specialist of Inclusive Growth at UNDP.THE COST-OF-LIVING CRISIS IN MOZAMBIQUE: POVERTY IMPACTS AND POSSIBLE POLICY RESPONSES2ContentsAbstract. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31. Context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42. Microsimulation of the potential short-term effects on poverty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .