世界银行-几内亚经济更新：自然资源管理促进发展（英）

Natural Resource Management for DevelopmentSeptember 2024GUINEA ECONOMIC UPDATEUINEA ECONOMIC UPDATE | GUINEA ECONOMIC UPDATE | GUINEA ECONOMIC UPDATE | GUINEA ECONOMIC UPDATE | GUINEA ECONOMIPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedUINEA ECONOMIC UPDATE | GUINEA ECONOMIC UPDATE | GUINEA ECONOMIC UPDATE | GUINEA ECONOMIC UPDATE | GUINEA ECONOMINatural Resource Management for DevelopmentGUINEA ECONOMIC UPDATEFirst EditionSeptember 2024© 2024 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet: www.worldbank.org Some rights reserved. This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or currency of the data included in this work and does not assume responsibility for any errors, omissions, or discrepancies in the information, or liability with respect to the use of or failure to use the information, methods, processes, or conclusions set forth. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Nothing herein shall constitute or be construed or considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved.Rights and Permissions The material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination of its knowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given.Attribution—Please cite the work as follows: “World Bank. 2024. Guinea Economic Update: Natural Resource Management for Development, DC: World Bank.” All queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank Group, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org.Table of ContentsAbbreviations and Acronyms viiiAcknowledgements ixExecutive Summary 1CHAPTER I. Macroeconomic and Poverty Developments and Outlook 61.1.  Guinea has shown resilience in the face of multiple crises, helped by a mining boom presenting its own macroeconomic challenges. 61.2. Fiscal management has delivered low deficits, yet resource mobilization and management in mining remain a challenge. 131.3. External sector and exchange rate management lead to stable currency, lower inflation but also appreciation of the real effective exchange rate. 171.4. The outlook for Guinea is overall positive, but clouded by ongoing Dutch-disease dynamics