UNDP-走在危机曲线之前：开发署应对多种灾害预警和准备的方法（英）

Getting Ahead of the Crisis Curve: UNDP’s Approach to Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Preparedness | 0 GETTING AHEAD OF THE CRISIS CURVE UNDP’s Approach to Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Preparedness UNDP Practice Note Getting Ahead of the Crisis Curve: UNDP’s Approach to Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Preparedness | 1 Copyright ©UNDP September 2024. All rights reserved. One United Nations Plaza, New York, NY 10017, U.S.A. About the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP): UNDP is the leading United Nations organization fighting to end the injustice of poverty, inequality, and climate change. Working with our broad network of experts and partners in 170 countries, we help nations to build integrated, lasting solutions for people and planet. Learn more at undp.org or follow at @UNDP. Special thanks: We would like to express our gratitude to all colleagues from various UNDP Country Offices, Regional Hubs and Central Bureaux for having provided valuable insight and feedback throughout the development of this Practice Note. We would also like to extend a special appreciation to the Crisis Bureau Policy, Knowledge and Partnerships Team and the Crisis Bureau Anticipation Task Team for their significant contributions towards finalizing this Practice Note. Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the United Nations, including UNDP, or the UN Member States. Citation: UNDP, 2024, Getting Ahead of the Crisis Curve: UNDP’s Approach to Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Preparedness. Authors: Paul Conrad, Ioana Creitaru Editing: Rebecca Smith Design and Layout: Antonella Diller Getting Ahead of the Crisis Curve: UNDP’s Approach to Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Preparedness | 2 Contents Foreword………………………………………………………………………………..…………………………04 Context and Rationale…………………………………………………………………………………… .05 Positioning Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Preparedness in UNDP’s Global Agenda…………………………………………………………………………………07 UNDP’s Approach to Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Preparedness……………08 Principles for Effective Action…………………………………………………………………………10 Enablers…………………………………………………………………………………………………………..15 Key Terms and Phrases…………………………………………………………………………………..19 Endnotes………………………………………………………………………………………………………….20 Figure 1: UNDP’s development solutions and programmatic approaches to crisis and fragility.…………………………………………………………………………………………..07 Figure 2: Anticipation and preparedness mechanisms for effective early action across all four pillars of the multi-hazard early warning system…………………………..…..09 Box 1: The cost of disasters………………………………………………………………………..………06 Box 2: Empowering communities: EWS 1294 in Cambodia…………………………………….10 Box 3: Applying foresight to embed anticipation in UNDP Country Office policy and programming ………………………………………………………………………………………….…………12 Box 4: Understanding evolving contextual risks through data