联合国贸易发展委员会-自2015年以来，可持续发展目标相关部门（不包括可再生能源）的国际投资停滞不前（英）

1#5 SEPTEMBER 2024Trends MonitorSDG InvestmentInternational investment in SDG-relevant sectors, excluding renewable energy, has stalled since 2015Foreign investors sponsoring just one fifth of infrastructure projects in developing countries#5 SEPTEMBER 2024 Preliminary data for the first quarter of 2024 shows a 11% decline in the number of projects compared to the 2023 average. However, the total value of these projects increased 7%, pushed by a number of large projects. The outlook is particularly challenging for least developed countries (LDCs), where sustainable development goal (SDG) investment is expected to fall by over 25%, primarily due to declining infrastructure and agrifood systems investments. Since 2015, the total number of international projects in SDGs-related sectors has grown by 25% primarily driven by renewable energy projects. Projects in health and education also have contributed to a lesser extent (22%). By 2023, the number of projects in other SDG sectors remained unchanged or even decreased compared to 2015 levels. The distribution of international SDG investments continues to be uneven. Since 2015, 18 developing economies have not received any internationally financed SDG projects. More than half of these include small islands developing States (SIDS) and a third of them are LDCs. Over the last decade, the average number of SDG-related projects increased by around 20%, primarily driven by the urgency of addressing climate change. However, compared to pre-Agenda 2030 levels, the number of projects in water and sanitation (WASH) has halved, while those in agrifood systems have decreased by a quarter. International investment in infrastructure has stagnated in developing Asia and fell in Latin America and the Caribbean (-9%) and in Africa (-24%).HIGHLIGHTSTrends MonitorSDG Investment2#5 SEPTEMBER 2024Trends MonitorSDG InvestmentProjections for 2024Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty will continue to adversely affect the number of greenfield projects and international project finance deals, which are expected to continue declining in 2024 (figure 1). In the first quarter of 2024, the number of SDG-related international project finance deals fell by 4% compared to the quarterly average last year. Similarly, the number of SDG-relevant greenfield projects declined by 13%. The projected slowdown is driven by reductions in renewable energy (-19%), agrifood systems (-12%), and infrastructure (-7%). The outlook is particularly challenging for LDCs, where SDG investment is expected to fall by over 25%, primarily due to declining infrastructure and agrifood systems investments.Despite the drop in the number of projects, the total value of investment projects has increased by 7%, supported by a few large-scale projects. In the first quarter of the year, the total value of SDG-related international project finance deals surged by 14%, while the value of greenfield projects fell slightly by only 2% (annex tables 1 and 2).There are e