中东和中亚经济展望

MIDDLE EAST AND CENTRAL ASIAREGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOKBuilding Resilience and Fostering Sustainable Growth 2023OCTINTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUNDMIDDLE EAST AND CENTRAL ASIAREGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOKINTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUNDBuilding Resilience and Fostering Sustainable Growth2023OCTCopyright ©2023 International Monetary FundCataloging-in-Publication DataIMF LibraryNames: International Monetary Fund, publisher. Title: Regional economic outlook. Middle East and Central Asia : building resilience and fostering sustain-able growth.Other titles: Middle East and Central Asia : building resilience and fostering sustainable growth. | Middle East and Central Asia. | Building resilience and fostering sustainable growth. | World economic and financial surveys. | Regional economic outlook: Middle East and Central Asia.Description: Washington, DC : International Monetary Fund, 2023. | World economic and financial surveys. | Oct. 2023. | Includes bibliographical references. Identifiers: ISBN: 9798400254222 (paper) 9798400254307 (ePub) 9798400254260 (Web PDF)Subjects: LCSH: Economic forecasting—Middle East. | Economic forecasting –Asia, Central. | Economic devel-opment—Middle East. | Economic development—Asia, Central. | Middle East—Economic conditions. | Asia, Central—Economic conditions. Classification: LCC HC415.15.A1 R44 2023The Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia is published twice a year, in the spring and fall, to review developments in the Middle East and Central Asia. Both projections and policy consider-ations are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF Management.Publication orders may be placed online or through the mail:International Monetary Fund, Publication ServicesP.O. Box 92780, Washington, DC 20090, U.S.A.T. +(1) 202.623.7430F. +(1) 202.623.7201publications@IMF.orgIMFbookstore.orgelibrary.IMF.orgREGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK—Middle East and Central AsiaINTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND • October 2023iiContentsAcknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ......... vCountry Groupings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........ viAssumptions and Conventions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ....... viiiExecutive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ....... ix1. Regional Developments and Economic Outlook: Building Resilience and Fostering Sustainable Growth .. 11.1. A Global Slowdown amid Higher-f