亚洲经济前景及一体化进程2021年度报告

I 博鳌亚洲论坛 亚洲经济前景及一体化进程 2021 年度报告 对外经济贸易大学出版社 中国·北京 II 图书在版编目（CIP）数据 博鳌亚洲论坛亚洲经济前景及一体化进程 2021 年度报 告. —北京：对外经济贸易大学出版社，2021.3 ISBN 978-7-5663-2256-2 Ⅰ. ①博… Ⅱ. Ⅲ. ①经济一体化−研究报告−亚洲 −2021 Ⅳ. ①F13 中国版本图书馆 CIP 数据核字（2021）第 053043 号 博鳌亚洲论坛亚洲经济前景及一体化进程 2021 年度报告 责任编辑：张俊娟 出版发行：对外经济贸易大学出版社 邮政编码：100029 社 址：北京市朝阳区惠新东街 10 号 邮购电话：010 − 64492338 网 址：www.uibep.com 发行部电话：010 − 64492342 资源网址：www.uibepresources.com E-mail：uibep@126.com 成品尺寸：215mm×278mm 印 刷：北京博海升彩色印刷有限公司 印 张：7.25 版 次：2021 年 3 月北京第 1 版 字 数：186 千字 印 次：2021 年 3 月第 1 次印刷 ISBN 978-7-5663-2256-2 定 价：200.00 元 III 缩略语 ··································································· Ⅸ 写作团队成员 ·························································· Ⅺ 序言 ···································································· XIII 上篇 亚洲经济前景 概述 ···································································· 003 第 1 章 亚洲经济前景与政策 ··································· 005 1.1 经济增长 ································································································· 005 1.2 就业与收入 ······························································································ 009 1.3 物价与货币政策 ························································································ 013 1.4 贸易和投资 ······························································································ 018 1.5 金融市场 ································································································· 023 第 2 章 亚洲经济热点议题 ······································ 031 2.1 后疫情时代数字经济转型 ············································································ 031 2.2 债务可持续性面临严峻挑战 ········································································· 032 2.3 推进落实亚洲区域经贸安排 ········································································· 036 2.4 新冠肺炎疫情下高质量共建“一带一路” ······················································· 038 IV 下篇 亚洲经济一体化进程 概述 ··································································· 043 第 3 章 亚洲经济体货物贸易一体化进程 ··················· 045 3.1 亚洲经济体货物贸易一体化 ········································································· 045 3.2 亚洲工厂一体化 ························································································ 054 第 4 章 亚洲经济体服务贸易一体化进程 ··················· 061 4.1 亚洲经济体服务贸易情况 ············································································ 061 4.2 亚洲数字贸易发展 ····················································································· 066 4.3 亚洲重点服务行业依存度分析 ······································································ 071 第 5 章 亚洲经济体直接投资融合度 ························· 075 5.1 亚洲直接投资融合度现状 ············································································ 075 5.2 亚洲跨境投资展望 ······